4. India – 4 points, +0.526 NRR
If India win both their remaining matches – against New Zealand and Bangladesh – then they will progress to the semi-finals, while a victory over the White Ferns on Thursday will also prove enough even if they drop their final game of the league stage.
A win over New Zealand and loss against Bangladesh would leave India with six points and they would be the only team at the tournament that can finish with that points haul and a total of three victories.
16.10.2 of the playing conditions for the tournament confirm:
In the event of teams finishing on equal points in the league stage, the ordering of teams will be decided in the following order of priority:
– The team with the greatest number of wins in the league matches will be placed in the higher position.
– If there are teams with equal points and equal wins in the league matches, then in such case the teams will be ordered according to their net run rate (NRR) in the league matches (refer to 16.10.5 below for the calculation of NRR).
– If two or more teams are still equal, they will be ordered according to the result of the head-to-head match played between them (points, then if still equal, NRR in those matches.
– If the above does not resolve the league ordering, or if all matches within the league stage produce no results, the teams will be ordered as per their original league seedings.
That means India would own the tie break over New Zealand – and potentially Sri Lanka – with a win over the White Ferns and a loss to Bangladesh.
If India lose to New Zealand and then defeat Bangladesh, they will be relying on England defeating the White Ferns on the final day of the league stage to sneak into the final four.
If India lose both their remaining matches then they are out of contention for the semi-finals.
